Canceled due to snow conditions. Will be rescheduled at a later date.
Hanming Fang, Professor of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
We develop a model of a Parole Board contemplating whether to grant parole release to a prisoner who has finished serving their minimum sentence. The model implies a simple outcome test for racial prejudice, which is based on the released inmate's rate of recidivism and is robust to the inframarginality problem.
Our model has several testable implications for which we show empirical support. Applying our test to data on all prison releases in Pennsylvania between 1999-2003 we find no evidence of racial prejudice.